With the Boston Bruins having won the Stanley Cup, and Brad Marchand having score as many goals as Jeremy Roenick or Mario Lemeiux in the playoffs. Like Niemi the year before last, he also managed to be a contributor to a Cup winner as a rookie, and in the last year of his contract.
In adding up the factors against him getting a big pay day here are the big ones:
- Was suspended for two games.
- Has only played one full season in the NHL.
- In the partial season he did play he failed to score a single goal and was a minus player.
- Took undisciplined penalties including multiple ruffing calls, and a throwing the stick penalty.
In his favor there are a few marks.
- Led all rookies in short handed points.
- Scored points short handed, at five on five, and on the powerplay.
- Was not afraid to go to the “dirty areas”.
- Played well as both a checking line forward and a more two way forward.
- Was a +/- leader in both regular and post seasons.
For comparison here are some of the other guys who scored forty-one points in the regular season last year:
- Devon Setoguchi: just signed to a new three year deal for three million a year, has been a thirty goal man, but also missed time each of the last two seasons. Does not play shorthanded.
- Mike Santorelli: Had a short handed goal last year, was the second leading scorer on an abysmal Panthers team, but had one of the worst +/- on the team. $600,000 one year contract expires the end of the upcoming season.
- Michael Ryder. Highly inconsistent during the regular season on the same Boston Bruins, very solid post season, his four million dollar per year deal is set to expire 7/1, is a two time thirty goal scorer.
Current market forces not being something you can ignore, here are some of the recent signings:
- Tomas Kopecky, has not topped 15 goals in his career and is seven years older than Marchand, did not play shorthanded last year, and just signed a four year contract worth three million per year.
- David Jones is four years older, has also played just one full season in the NHL, scored 27 goals last season, one year contract for two and a half million.
- Brooks Laich, had his second lowest career goal total last season. At 28 his points total last season was lower than either of the previous two years. Has just signed a six year deal with a cap hit of four and a half million a year.
- Nathan Gerbe of similar size to Marchand, has signed a new deal worth a shade under one and a half million a year, only scored sixteen goals and 31 points in 64 games last year.
To me, given the speed, ability to agitate, and ability to play in all situations and his chemistry with Patrice Bergeron, I’d call two and half million a little low, and probably barely fair a deal between $2.75 million and $3.25 woud be about market value for any deal under four years. A deal over four million, or longer than four years could be somewhat questionable, no matter how much we like him.